Specialty Coffee Market Sales to Top USD 80.1 Billion by 2033 | CAGR of 11.8%

Tajammul Pangarkar
Tajammul Pangarkar

Updated · Jun 10, 2024

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Introduction

The Global Specialty Coffee Market is witnessing a significant upswing, with projections indicating an increase from USD 27.0 billion in 2022 to an impressive USD 80.1 billion by 2032. This robust growth trajectory, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8% from 2024 to 2033, highlights the market’s dynamic evolution driven by burgeoning consumer preferences for high-quality, artisanal coffee blends. Key factors fueling this expansion include heightened consumer awareness and appreciation for unique coffee flavors and origins, coupled with a growing commitment to ethical consumption practices. These practices emphasize sustainable agriculture and fair trade, aligning with global trends towards environmental stewardship and social responsibility.

However, the specialty coffee market faces notable challenges, including the volatility of coffee prices influenced by fluctuating supply conditions and variable weather patterns impacting coffee production. Additionally, the rigorous standards required to maintain the ‘specialty’ label necessitate meticulous production processes, further inflating costs and posing operational challenges.

Recent developments have seen an increased integration of technology and e-commerce platforms, revolutionizing how specialty coffee is marketed and distributed. This digital shift not only broadens market reach but also enhances consumer engagement through tailored experiences and heightened accessibility. Moreover, significant investments are being directed towards sustainable practices within the industry, addressing consumer demand for environmentally friendly and ethically produced coffee. This strategic focus not only helps conserve biodiversity in coffee-producing regions but also enhances the social and economic conditions of communities involved in coffee cultivation, thereby enriching the overall value proposition of specialty coffee products in the global market.

Starbucks Coffee Company has aggressively pursued its growth strategy, with a plan to double its 75 million global Starbucks Rewards members in five years and expand its global store footprint to 55,000 by 2030. This strategy emphasizes enhancing digital and technological collaborations to elevate both partner and customer experiences. The company has also focused on environmental sustainability and improving employee benefits as part of its long-term growth plans.

McDonald’s has continued to innovate in its McCafé lineup, focusing on specialty coffee offerings to draw in a broader customer base. The chain has been revamping its coffee flavors and enhancing its breakfast menu, which includes premium coffee options, to compete directly with traditional coffeehouses.

These developments reflect a dynamic specialty coffee market where traditional giants and niche players alike are evolving to meet changing consumer preferences, with a strong emphasis on quality, sustainability, and enhanced customer experiences. Each player’s strategy highlights a commitment to innovation and adaptation in a competitive industry landscape.

Specialty Coffee Market

Key Takeaways

  • Specialty Coffee Market Overview: The global specialty coffee market had a valuation of USD 27.0 Billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 80.1 Billion by 2032, experiencing a remarkable CAGR of 11.8% between 2023 and 2032.
  • Bean Analysis: In terms of coffee bean types, the market is categorized into Arabica, Robusta, Excelsa, Liberia, and other beans. Within these variants, Arabica beans constitute the majority of the market share, accounting for 60% of the global revenue.
  • Grade Analysis: The market was led by the 85-89.99 grade segment, capturing the largest market share at 39.12%, primarily attributed to the enticing coffee fragrance.
  • Distribution Channel Analysis: In terms of distribution channels, the worldwide market is categorized into supermarkets/hypermarkets, convenience stores, online platforms, and other distribution channels. Among these, online platforms secured the largest share of revenue, accounting for 32.4% in the year 2022.
  • Regional Analysis: Europe was the leading market shareholder, encompassing 30% of the overall coffee market in 2022. There are multiple reasons explaining Europe’s status as a major consumer of specialty coffee.

Specialty Coffee Statistics

  • Revenue, at home (e.g., revenue generated in supermarkets and convenience stores) in the Coffee market amounts to US$11.0bn in 2024.
  • Revenue, out-of-home (e.g., revenue generated in restaurants and bars) amounts to US$75.7bn in 2024.
  • Revenue, combined amounts to US$86.7bn in 2024.
  • The revenue, at home is expected to grow annually by 1.05% (CAGR 2024-2028).
  • In global comparison, most revenue, at home is generated in the United States (US$11,000m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, the average revenue per capita, at home of US$32.17 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Coffee market, volume, at home is expected to amount to 1,022.0m kg by 2024.
  • Volume, out-of-home is expected to amount to 240.2m kg in 2024.
  • Volume, combined is expected to amount to 1.3bn kg in 2024.
  • The Coffee market is expected to show a volume growth, at home of 1.1% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person, at home in the Coffee market is expected to amount to 2.99kg in 2024.
  • 64% of American adults currently consume coffee every day.
  • Americans drink about 400 million cups of coffee every day.
  • Americans drink about 146 billion cups of coffee per year.
  • 66% of women drink coffee every day, compared to 62% of men.
  • 79% of Americans prepare coffee at home.
  • About 35% of coffee consumers usually drink black coffee.
  • 45% of US coffee consumers brew their coffee by a drip coffee maker.
  • In Finland, an average of 12 kg of coffee is consumed per person every year.
  • About 110–120 million bags of coffee are produced in the world every year.

Emerging Trends

Regenerative Agriculture: Practices like no-till farming, intercropping, and water conservation are gaining traction. By 2024, over 70% of coffee is expected to be sourced using regenerative methods, promoting environmental sustainability and benefiting both farmers and consumers​​.

Energy-Efficient Coffee Shops: There is a growing emphasis on reducing carbon footprints through the use of eco-friendly equipment and practices. This includes micro-cafes, low-emission brewing methods, and waste-reducing single-serve products​​.

Health-Boosting Ingredients: Brands are incorporating antioxidants and other health-boosting nutrients into their coffee products. This trend aligns with the broader health-conscious movement in food and beverages​​.

Butter Coffee: Popular among celebrities and athletes, buttered coffee is believed to enhance the effects of caffeine and act as an appetite suppressant, providing an extra health benefit for consumers​​.

Automated Coffee Carts and Kiosks: These are becoming popular in high-traffic areas like offices and transit hubs, offering convenience with automated, high-quality coffee without the need for baristas​​.

Hybrid Coffee Products: Innovations such as ready-to-drink cold brews, coffee concentrates, and single-serve coffee pouches are gaining popularity due to their convenience and variety​​.

Coffee Tourism: There is a rising trend of consumers traveling to coffee farms and participating in coffee festivals and events. This experiential approach allows consumers to connect more deeply with coffee culture​​.

Coffee Tastings: Similar to wine tastings, coffee tastings are becoming more common in specialty coffee shops, providing consumers with the opportunity to explore different blends and brewing methods​​.

Specialty Coffee Shops as Community Hubs: Coffee shops are evolving into spaces that offer more than just coffee. They provide workspaces, entertainment, and gourmet food options, making them community gathering spots​​.

Mainstream Adoption of Specialty Coffee: Specialty coffee, once exclusive to upscale cafes, is becoming a standard expectation among consumers. This trend is driven by partnerships between artisan roasters and big brands, increasing availability in supermarkets and online channels​.

Growth Among Younger Consumers: The age group of 25-39 is expanding at a significant rate due to its openness to new tastes and brewing methods. This demographic is driving the demand for specialty coffee, which offers customization and premium quality​.

Commercial and Home Segments: While commercial specialty coffee chains dominate the market, the home brewing segment is growing due to the availability of high-quality brewing equipment​​.

Use Cases

  • Consumer Retail: Specialty coffee has carved out a significant niche in consumer markets worldwide, driven by increasing consumer demand for high-quality and ethically sourced products. Retailers and coffee shops, including large chains and local cafes, have expanded their specialty coffee offerings to meet this demand. This expansion is evident from the growth of specialty coffee shop markets, which are projected to grow substantially in the coming years.
  • E-Commerce: The rise of online shopping has also touched the specialty coffee industry. E-commerce platforms have become a popular channel for the distribution of specialty coffee, catering to the convenience of home brewers and coffee enthusiasts. The ease of accessing a wide range of specialty coffee beans and brewing equipment online has contributed significantly to the industry’s growth.
  • Workplace Consumption: Companies are increasingly adopting specialty coffee as a standard offering in the workplace. This trend is driven by the recognition that high-quality coffee can enhance employee satisfaction and productivity. Corporate offices now regularly partner with specialty coffee providers to supply their daily coffee needs, moving beyond traditional commercial coffee solutions.
  • Subscription Services: Specialty coffee subscriptions have become a popular model for consumers who appreciate variety and freshness in their coffee consumption. These services offer regular deliveries of freshly roasted beans from different origins, tailored to the taste preferences of the subscriber, directly to their doorstep.
  • Sustainability Programs: With a growing consumer focus on sustainability, specialty coffee producers are increasingly implementing programs that ensure ethical sourcing and environmental stewardship. These initiatives often include direct trade practices, organic certification, and support for sustainable farming practices, which are particularly appealing to environmentally conscious consumers.
  • Hospitality and Tourism: Hotels and resorts have recognized the value of offering specialty coffee as part of their hospitality services. High-quality coffee offerings are now a common expectation among travelers, particularly in luxury and boutique establishments, enhancing the overall guest experience.
  • Educational Programs: As interest in specialty coffee grows, so does the demand for education about coffee brewing and tasting. Barista schools, coffee tasting workshops, and professional certification programs in coffee preparation and sensory analysis are expanding, reflecting a deeper consumer interest in understanding and appreciating coffee quality and craftsmanship.

Key Players Analysis

Starbucks Coffee Company continues to be a major player in the specialty coffee sector, focusing on sustainability and innovation. The company is enhancing its customer and partner (employee) experience through upgraded technology and digital offerings, aiming to double its global Starbucks Rewards membership by 2030. Starbucks also plans to expand its store count to 55,000 globally by 2030, focusing on sustainability and improving employee benefits as part of its long-term strategy.

Meanwhile, McDonald’s is expanding its presence in the specialty coffee market through its McCafé brand and new initiatives like the CosMc’s café concept, targeting the indulgence beverage market with a range of specialty coffees. This concept is initially being trialed in Illinois with plans for expansion depending on its performance. McDonald’s also aims to significantly increase the number of McCafé locations in China, leveraging the growing coffee culture there and competing with other major coffee chains​​​​.

Caribou Coffee Company, a notable player in the specialty coffee sector, is dedicated to crafting quality coffee experiences with a focus on sustainability. The company continues to innovate with new beverage options such as the launch of plant-based offerings and expanded cold coffee drinks. Emphasizing sustainability, Caribou Coffee is committed to eco-friendly practices, which is evident from their ‘Cabin Roast’ series made from beans sourced exclusively from Rainforest Alliance Certified farms.

Blue Bottle Coffee, Inc. is actively expanding its footprint in the specialty coffee market with a strong commitment to quality and sustainability. Recent initiatives include a push towards achieving carbon neutrality by 2024 and significant reductions in waste across its operations. The company has also embraced oat milk as the default in its U.S. cafes, highlighting its commitment to environmental sustainability and customer health preferences. These efforts are part of Blue Bottle’s broader strategy to innovate within the specialty coffee space while adhering to sustainable practices.

Barista Coffee Company Limited is actively expanding within the Indian specialty coffee market, focusing on enhancing its presence through new store openings and innovative coffee offerings. The company’s approach involves adapting to local preferences and trends, which is evident from their menu that caters specifically to regional tastes. Barista is leveraging digital platforms and partnerships to reach a broader audience, enhancing customer engagement and experience through technology-driven solutions. This strategy aims not only to grow their market share but also to solidify their position as a key player in India’s evolving coffee landscape.

Costa Coffee has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in the specialty coffee sector, recently returning to profit with a significant increase in sales. In the latest fiscal year, Costa achieved a 21% year-on-year sales growth, reaching £1.1 billion. This growth is supported by the expansion of Costa’s self-serve business and innovative menu additions, such as the introduction of ‘Bubble’ drinks and plant-based Ready-To-Drink Oat Latte. Costa’s focus on enhancing customer experiences through new product launches and the expansion of its digital and physical presence worldwide underscores its commitment to maintaining a leading position in the global coffee market.

Strauss Group Ltd. is significantly expanding its influence in the specialty coffee sector through its Coffee Division, which notably contributes a substantial portion of the company’s total revenue. Strauss Coffee is recognized for fostering direct and sustainable relationships with coffee farmers, emphasizing ethical sourcing and sustainability. The company actively works to enhance its market position in Eastern Europe and Brazil, focusing on premium and specialty coffee products that cater to the increasing consumer demand for high-quality coffee experiences.

Eight O’Clock Coffee Company, a long-standing participant in the coffee industry, continues to innovate within the specialty coffee sector by focusing on high-quality, affordable coffee options. The brand is well-known for offering a wide range of coffee blends that cater to varied tastes and preferences, including premium whole bean and ground options. Eight O’Clock Coffee emphasizes accessible quality and flavor, making it a popular choice among consumers who appreciate both traditional and specialty coffee offerings without the premium price tag.

Don Francisco Coffee has maintained a strong presence in the specialty coffee market by emphasizing quality and sustainability. With a rich family heritage that began in Cuba, Don Francisco’s focuses on delivering exceptional coffee, using carefully sourced beans to ensure rich flavors. The company caters to a diverse range of tastes with offerings like their popular Kona Blend, which blends smooth Kona coffee with other premium Arabica beans. Committed to sustainability, Don Francisco’s utilizes environmentally friendly practices throughout their production processes, ensuring each cup of coffee not only tastes good but also contributes positively to the environment.

The J.M. Smucker Company, renowned for its extensive range of consumer food products, plays a significant role in the specialty coffee sector through brands like Folgers and Café Bustelo. Smucker’s has been focusing on enhancing its coffee offerings by introducing new flavors and formats that cater to the evolving tastes of coffee drinkers. The company has also invested in marketing and distribution strategies to better reach consumers where they shop, both online and in stores. Their commitment to quality and consumer satisfaction continues to position them strongly in the competitive coffee market. ​

Coffee Day Enterprises Limited has been a significant player in India’s specialty coffee market, operating under the popular brand Café Coffee Day. The company focuses on offering a diverse range of coffee blends that cater to the Indian palate, with an emphasis on freshness and quality. Coffee Day also integrates technology in its operations, offering apps for easy ordering and customer loyalty programs. Their approach combines traditional coffee house charm with modern retail strategies, making them a cornerstone in the urban coffee culture of India.

JAB Holding Company plays a pivotal role in the global specialty coffee market through its ownership of several leading coffee brands and chains. JAB’s strategy involves aggressive expansion and acquisition, owning major entities like Peet’s Coffee, Caribou Coffee, and Keurig Dr Pepper. Their approach not only diversifies their portfolio but also strengthens their global footprint in the specialty coffee sector. By leveraging its extensive network of brands, JAB effectively caters to a wide range of consumer preferences and demands in the specialty coffee space.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the specialty coffee market is experiencing dynamic growth, driven by evolving consumer preferences towards high-quality, artisanal coffee products. As consumers increasingly seek out unique flavors and sustainable practices, the industry is responding with innovative offerings and business models that emphasize quality and ethical sourcing. The expansion of digital platforms and e-commerce has further facilitated the accessibility of specialty coffee, enabling consumers worldwide to explore a diverse range of products.

Additionally, the integration of specialty coffee into various industries, from corporate environments to luxury hospitality, underscores its broad appeal and potential for continued growth. As the market progresses, the specialty coffee industry is set to remain at the forefront of the global beverage sector, offering lucrative opportunities for businesses and delightful experiences for coffee enthusiasts.

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Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar is a tech blogger that frequently contributes to numerous industry-specific magazines and forums. Tajammul longstanding experience in the fields of mobile technology and industry research is often reflected in his insightful body of work. His interest lies in understanding tech trends, dissecting mobile applications, and in raising a general awareness of technical know-how. When he’s not ruminating about various happenings in the tech world, he can be usually found indulging in his next favorite interest - table tennis.

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